Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke sat for an interview with ABC's Diane Sawyer, and we dug through the transcript for the most important details.
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Sawyer questioned exactly how long it would take for the U.S. economy to
return to full employment. Bernanke neatly side-stepped this one, though said
"unless we get faster growth than we've been seeing it is probably going to take
a while still." Sawyer pressed further, asking when: three years? five years?,
to which Bernanke responded, "I think we're still sort of in that general
vicinity. But it's very imprecise. I don't want to convey the sense that
we know exactly when-- things will be back to-- completely to
normal."
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The Fed will impose more regulations on the banks. "We're
gonna be much tougher...We continue to be tougher and we'll continue to-- add--
the rules necessary to make sure that they're-- operating in a safe manner, in a
way that doesn't endanger-- our economic system. In terms of lending we've
emphasized to the banks the importance of making loans to-- to good borrowers,
that's-- that's the reason the financial system's so important because-- our
system lives on credit."
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Bernanke and his colleagues are pretty annoyed with
Congress, though optimistic that the political gridlock could improve
at year end: "Well, we have expressed-- at the Fed, not just myself and my
colleagues have expressed a lot of concern about the long run fiscal
sustainability of-- our economy and our federal budget. And that's something
that's gonna take a lot of political courage and-- creativity and-- and
leadership to-- to tackle. And-- so far it hasn't really happened. But-- you
know-- at the end of-- this year there's gonna be some big changes in the
existing law. The Bush tax cuts will expire, lots of things are gonna happen.
And that'll be a moment where I hope that-- Congress and administration will get
together and-- and make some tough decisions about how to bring our federal
budget back to-- a more reasonable position."
- Long-run unemployment is the #1 thing that keeps Bernanke from sleeping at night. "0% of the unemployed have been out of work for more than six months. Those people are obviously facing a lot of hardship-- their skills could be eroding-- they may never be able to get back into the labor force at the same earnings level or same occupation that they had when they-- when they lost their jobs. So I think it's important for us to support the recovery and help people get back to work."
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He's still shaking in his boots about housing, which he said has not
yet seen a "full-fledged recovery." He added, "Normally in a recovery
you would see housing growing much more quickly, construction-- housing related
industries. So far housing is-- kinda still pretty flat. We have seen a few
signs-- of-- of progress-- a few extra permits for construction. We see more
construction in multi-family-- housing. More people are moving into apartment
buildings for example. So there's a bit of-- a bit of a green shoot there if
you-- if you will. But-- you know, we're not really yet in a full-fledged
housing recovery."
- Bernanke believes the American dream is still alive, despite the numerous challenges the U.S. faces. "We have a lot of problems. We've got education issues, we've got health issues, we've got-- fiscal policy issues. But we had those before the crisis. And I-- I think that-- our economy's gonna recover and-- and c-- and continue to grow and be-- a world leader. But we've got a lot of challenges, and there's no-- there's no covering up that fact."
- Fears that China will overtake the U.S. economy are overblown; the U.S. is still the leader of the world economy. "All of these factors that people point to-- about-- you know, globalization and off-shoring and all those things, in the first place those things were all working before the-- the crisis and we had unemployment that was much lower than we have today. And then-- and then secondly, you know-- there's actually been some tendency to reverse off-shoring, to do on-shoring-- lot of jobs-- that have gone to China are-- have actually started to come back. And the U.S. is very competitive, and-- so I have some hopes that-- you know, that in fact-- we'll see more job growth coming from-- changes in where-- firms decide to produce."
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