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2014年8月21日星期四

RHB Cap, OSK slump but CIMB climbs

 RHB Cap was the top loser among the 30-stock FBM KLCI stocks but CIMB advanced despite news that RHB Cap could be the holding company in the proposed merger with Malaysia Building Society Bhd (MBSB).


RHB Cap fell 23 sen to RM9.22 but CIMB rose eight sen to RM7.20 and MBSB added four sen to RM2.47. OSK Holdings, which has a large stake in RHB Cap, fell 10 sen to RM2.37.
A local business report said one of the routes being considered currently is for CIMB Group to sell its entire banking business to RHB Cap to be paid by an issuance of new RHB Cap shares. Once RHB Cap takes over CIMB Group's banking assets, the commercial and investment banking businesses of both groups will be consolidated.
The report, quoting sources, saud this route to merger is preferred over an outright purchase of RHB Cap of its assets as this will likely be blocked by Abu Dhabi-based Aabar Investments, which had made clear its objection to any sale unless it is at a price it is happy with.
This proposed scheme is contrary to popular belief that CIMB Group will be the acquired in the mega merger and end up the holding company.

2014年8月7日星期四

‘Talks making headway’

THE merger talks between CIMB Group Holdings Bhd, RHB Capital Bhd (RHBCap) and Malaysia Building Society Bhd (MBSB) are progressing

well, with an announcement expected by the end of the month, say sources.

The three parties, which share a common shareholder — the Employees Provident Fund (EPF) — are at the end of the first month of their 90-day exclusive negotiations.

On July 10, the three financial institutions announced that they have received Bank Negara Malaysia’s approval to commence discussions to merge the businesses of both RHB and CIMB as well as create an enlarged Islamic banking franchise with MBSB.

The exclusivity agreement allows them to finalise pricing, structure and other terms and conditions without competing bids from other parties.

Analysts expect CIMB to take the lead and undertake a share swap to acquire RHBCap and MBSB.

The deal, according to TA Securities Holdings Bhd, would most likely be funded by the issuance of new CIMB shares in order to prevent massive capital expenditure.

It is also believed that the exercise would involve, firstly, a merger between CIMB and RHBCap. This will be followed by merging CIMB-RHBCap’s combined Islamic banking businesses with MBSB to create a mega Islamic bank.

The merger is expected to c reate a banking group with total assets of more than RM613 billion and a market capitalisation of more than RM88 billion.

Maybank, currently the largest banking group by assets, has an asset size of RM578 billion and market capitalisation of RM91.1 billion as of March 31.

CIMB Group is Malaysia’s second-largest bank by assets while RHBCap is the country’s fourth-largest financial services group.

Property financing firm MBSB last year was reportedly in the process of transforming into a full-fledged bank.

  MBSB’s operations, when combined with RHB Islamic Bank and CIMB Islamic Bank, could produce a mega Islamic bank with total assets of RM122 billion, rivalling that of Maybank Islamic’s RM127 billion.

EPF owns 14.46 per cent stake in CIMB, 40.76 per cent in RHB and 64.73 per cent in MBSB.

Government investment arm Khazanah Nasional Bhd is CIMB’s major shareholder with about 30 per cent interest.

Meanwhile, when asked about the progress of the merger talks, MBSB president and chief executive officer Datuk Ahmad Zaini Othman said: “We have been in active discussion for almost a month now. This is a good development.”

He was speaking after MBSB presented a RM100,000 donation to Viva Palestine for the purchase of an ambulance and medical aid.

On whether the proposed merger could result in a reduction of bank branches, Zaini said: “We have legal and corporate advisers poring over the numbers to identify the synergies we can reap and the overlaps we need to address.”

On whether there would be a voluntary separation scheme for bank employees in the near future, he said: “It is difficult to say at this point in time because we have not assessed the right size of a possible merged entity.”

Asked if he would be keeping his job after the merger, Zaini replied enigmatically: “This merger discussion goes beyond individual concerns.

“What is important is to focus on value creation and the interests of MBSB.”

2012年10月3日星期三

CIMB Tips CPO Price To Rebound By Year-End

03 Oct 2012
 The fear factor is uprooting CPO, with the 25% price slump over five weeks fueled by speculative selling on stock-buildup concerns, CIMB says, noting recent export figures and September-harvest channel checks suggest higher-than-expected buildup. 

 Malaysia's September production may be up to 20% higher on-month and exports were flattish on-month, indicating Malaysian CPO stocks could rise to 2.5 million-2.6 million tons by end-September, vs CIMB's 2.22 million-ton projection from early September, it says. 

"Although the stock level is a record high for Malaysia, it works out to only 1.7 months of average monthly exports in 2012, which is, in our view, manageable as long as demand picks up in the coming months," it says. 

"We believe there is sufficient storage capacity but the concern is that buyers may defer purchases." But it keeps the sector a Trading Buy. 

"We believe that CPO price will rebound by year-end, driven by palm oil's attractive pricing relative to soybean oil and improving economic viability for conversion to biodiesel." 

It plans to review its 2012-13 CPO price forecasts, estimating every MYR100/ton CPO-price change results in 5%-6% earnings downgrades for pure planters under coverage. 

It recommends accumulating Sime Darby (4197.KU), Indofood Agri (5JS.SG) and Astra Agro (AALI.JK) on weakness.

2012年9月3日星期一

CIMB Starts IHH Healthcare At Outperform, Target S$1.53

03 Sep 2012         
CIMB starts IHH Healthcare (Q0F.SG) at Outperform with S$1.53 target. "IHH's extensive footprint in a defensive sector is one of the best business models around.
 It possesses steady-growth profile, driven by unquenchable demands for better healthcare needs. This is a direct play on the rising global healthcare costs." It notes IHH operates an integrated healthcare business and related services, with market leadership in its three home markets of Singapore, Malaysia and Turkey as well as operations and investments in China, India, Hong Kong, Vietnam, Brunei and Macedonia. 

It adds, IHH's ability to capture the huge demand for medical travel is a big plus, with its key home markets able to act as regional hubs for medical travel. IHH's sponsorship of the Parkway Life REIT (C2PU.SG) also provides opportunities not readily available to other healthcare players, with possible further asset-recycling chances among its Malaysian assets, and with freed capital likely redeployed to growth frontiers, it says. The stock is flat at S$1.25. 

2011年11月29日星期二

Wednesday, 30 Nov 2011. CIMB – Stock Pick

CIMB ( 1023 : 7.04 ) : Targeting 7.58
Description
Resistance : 7.35 7.58 7.86
Support : 6.84
RSI of 48
RSI is rebounding
STOCHASTIC
It is turning upwards
TREND INDICATOR
Down
Comment
With oversold technicals, it is in for some recovery to possibly 7.58
Trading Strategy
Buy. Stop loss is at 6.84